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0981.HK November 3, 2026

SMIC (0981.HK) Rides 36% Revenue Growth and 258% EPS Surge as Foundry Demand Levers Improve

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp is a Hong Kong-listed semiconductor foundry headquartered in Shanghai that manufactures, tests, and sells integrated circuit wafers and related semiconductor products. Its operations span China, the United States, and Eurasia, alongside foundry, technology, design/IP support, photomask, and other technical services. The name matters because SMIC is showing strong operating momentum, with quarterly revenue up 36.1% year over year and quarterly earnings up 258.7% year over year, suggesting demand and leverage are still flowing through the model. TTM profitability is solid for a capital-intensive foundry, with gross margin of 21.8%, operating margin of 17.1%, and net margin of 10.0%, although return metrics remain modest at 1.1% ROA and 4.2% ROE. The stock looks expensive on trailing numbers at 42.1x P/E and 35.4x P/S, but forward P/E falls to 23.8x and PEG is 0.78, indicating the valuation hinges on continued EPS growth. Balance sheet leverage is elevated but manageable, with net debt of 6.45bn against 6.25bn of cash and book value of 23.05 per share, which matters given ongoing fab investment needs.

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šŸ’” Key Insights / Thesis

  • ThesisSMIC combines strong top-line momentum with improving earnings power, as quarterly revenue grew 36.1% YoY and quarterly earnings grew 258.7% YoY — supports the case that foundry demand and operating leverage are still working through the model
  • FinancialsTTM margins remain solid for a capital-intensive foundry: gross margin is about 21.8% (gross profit 2.27bn on revenue 10.38bn), operating margin 17.1%, and net margin 10.0% — shows the business can convert revenue growth into profitability
  • FinancialsReturn metrics are still modest, with ROA at 1.1% and ROE at 4.2% — indicates earnings quality is improving, but capital efficiency remains limited versus the scale of invested assets
  • ValuationThe stock screens expensive on trailing earnings and sales at 42.1x P/E and 35.4x P/S, but forward P/E falls to 23.8x and PEG is 0.78 — suggests the market is paying for growth, with valuation more reasonable if EPS expansion materializes
  • CapitalBalance sheet leverage is elevated but manageable: net debt is 6.45bn against 6.25bn cash, with total equity of 21.58bn and book value of 23.05 per share — matters because ongoing fab investment requires financial flexibility
  • CatalystAnalyst estimates point to continued growth, with EPS expected to rise from 0.1812 this year to 0.2286 next year and revenue projected to reach 14.31bn in 2027 — provides a visible earnings runway if execution holds
  • RiskFree cash flow was negative in 2025 at -4.96bn after heavy capex of 8.35bn, and the stock is trading near its 52-week low of 42.26 versus a 52-week high of 93 — highlights execution and cash absorption risk if investment spending stays elevated
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