Stock Regimes
Major swings and moving-average trends across the full price history, with each period compared to the S&P 500.
Price history
Green bands are rallies and red bands are drawdowns. A swing is confirmed when price reverses by at least 20%.
Versus the S&P 500
Both series are rebased to 100 at the first date they share in this window. Returns are price returns from adjusted closes, not dividend total return.
Regimes
| Direction | Start | End | Trading days | Start price | End price | Stock | Annualized | S&P 500 | Excess |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drawdown | 2020-06-03 | 2020-06-10 | 6 | $1.15 | $0.78 | -31.7% | -100.0% | +2.2% | -33.8% |
| Rally | 2020-06-10 | 2020-06-16 | 5 | $0.78 | $0.97 | +23.2% | +3,645,994.8% | -2.1% | +25.2% |
| Drawdown | 2020-06-16 | 2020-10-22 | 88 | $0.97 | $0.52 | -46.5% | -83.4% | +10.5% | -57.1% |
| Rally | 2020-10-22 | 2020-11-09 | 12 | $0.52 | $0.66 | +27.8% | +17,122.6% | +2.8% | +25.0% |
| Drawdown | 2020-11-09 | 2020-12-31 | 38 | $0.66 | $0.53 | -20.3% | -77.8% | +5.8% | -26.1% |
| Rally | 2020-12-31 | 2021-08-10 | 150 | $0.53 | $1.32 | +151.1% | +369.6% | +18.1% | +133.0% |
| Drawdown | 2021-08-10 | 2021-10-08 | 42 | $1.32 | $0.78 | -40.9% | -95.7% | -1.0% | -39.9% |
| Rally | 2021-10-08 | 2021-11-18 | 28 | $0.78 | $1.03 | +32.1% | +1,120.9% | +7.1% | +24.9% |
| Drawdown | 2021-11-18 | 2021-12-03 | 12 | $1.03 | $0.76 | -26.2% | -99.8% | -3.5% | -22.7% |
| Rally | 2021-12-03 | 2022-02-14 | 48 | $0.76 | $0.92 | +21.1% | +172.7% | -3.0% | +24.1% |
| Drawdown | 2022-02-14 | 2022-03-29 | 32 | $0.92 | $0.73 | -20.7% | -83.8% | +5.2% | -25.9% |
| Rally | 2022-03-29 | 2022-04-26 | 18 | $0.73 | $0.94 | +28.8% | +3,345.6% | -9.9% | +38.6% |
| Drawdown | 2022-04-26 | 2022-04-27 | 2 | $0.94 | $0.28 | -70.2% | -100.0% | +0.2% | -70.4% |
| Rally | 2022-04-27 | 2022-08-30 | 86 | $0.28 | $1.15 | +310.7% | +6,177.9% | -4.7% | +315.4% |
| Drawdown | 2022-08-30 | 2022-10-20 | 36 | $1.15 | $0.71 | -38.3% | -96.6% | -8.0% | -30.2% |
| Rally | 2022-10-20 | 2022-10-28 | 7 | $0.71 | $1.10 | +54.9% | +699,577,848.9% | +6.4% | +48.5% |
| Drawdown | 2022-10-28 | 2022-12-23 | 41 | $1.10 | $0.85 | -22.7% | -79.5% | -1.4% | -21.3% |
| Rally | 2022-12-23 | 2023-02-07 | 27 | $0.85 | $1.13 | +32.9% | +1,326.1% | +8.3% | +24.6% |
| Drawdown | 2023-02-07 | 2023-04-26 | 54 | $1.13 | $0.79 | -30.1% | -81.2% | -2.6% | -27.5% |
| Rally | 2023-04-26 | 2023-07-20 | 58 | $0.79 | $1.36 | +72.2% | +959.2% | +11.8% | +60.3% |
| Drawdown | 2023-07-20 | 2023-09-05 | 33 | $1.36 | $0.79 | -41.9% | -98.4% | -0.8% | -41.1% |
| Rally | 2023-09-05 | 2024-06-14 | 190 | $0.79 | $1.45 | +83.5% | +123.8% | +20.8% | +62.8% |
| Drawdown | 2024-06-14 | 2024-08-07 | 38 | $1.45 | $0.96 | -33.8% | -93.5% | -4.3% | -29.5% |
| Rally | 2024-08-07 | 2024-09-30 | 37 | $0.96 | $1.40 | +45.8% | +1,206.2% | +10.8% | +35.0% |
| Drawdown | 2024-09-30 | 2025-01-17 | 75 | $1.40 | $1.07 | -23.6% | -59.5% | +4.1% | -27.6% |
| Rally | 2025-01-17 | 2025-04-29 | 67 | $1.07 | $1.30 | +21.5% | +108.0% | -7.3% | +28.8% |
| Drawdown | 2025-04-29 | 2025-06-02 | 23 | $1.30 | $0.95 | -26.9% | -96.8% | +6.7% | -33.7% |
| Rally | 2025-06-02 | 2025-11-07 | 111 | $0.95 | $3.55 | +273.7% | +1,894.1% | +13.4% | +260.3% |
| Drawdown | 2025-11-07 | 2025-11-12 | 4 | $3.55 | $2.50 | -29.6% | -100.0% | +1.8% | -31.4% |
| Rally | 2025-11-12 | 2025-11-24 | 9 | $2.50 | $3.55 | +42.0% | +1,836,749.8% | -2.1% | +44.1% |
| Drawdown | 2025-11-24 | 2025-12-03 | 8 | $3.55 | $2.71 | -23.7% | -100.0% | +2.2% | -25.8% |
| Rally | 2025-12-03 | 2026-03-26 | 76 | $2.71 | $4.18 | +54.2% | +320.8% | -5.4% | +59.7% |
| Drawdown | 2026-03-26 | 2026-04-16 | 13 | $4.18 | $1.29 | -69.1% | -100.0% | +8.7% | -77.8% |
| Rally Ongoing | 2026-04-16 | 2026-11-06 | 141 | $1.29 | $2.55 | +97.7% | +238.0% | +4.8% | +92.9% |
Stock returns use adjusted closes. Annualized compounds that stock return over a 252-trading-day year. S&P 500 is the GSPC index price return over the same dates. Excess is the stock return minus the S&P 500 return.