Stock Regimes
Major swings and moving-average trends across the full price history, with each period compared to the S&P 500.
Price history
Green bands are rallies and red bands are drawdowns. A swing is confirmed when price reverses by at least 20%.
Versus the S&P 500
Both series are rebased to 100 at the first date they share in this window. Returns are price returns from adjusted closes, not dividend total return.
Regimes
| Direction | Start | End | Trading days | Start price | End price | Stock | S&P 500 | Excess |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drawdown | 2011-01-21 | 2011-11-30 | 196 | $0.43 | $0.25 | -40.4% | -2.8% | -37.5% |
| Rally | 2011-11-30 | 2011-12-05 | 4 | $0.25 | $0.33 | +31.1% | +0.8% | +30.3% |
| Drawdown | 2011-12-05 | 2012-05-18 | 81 | $0.33 | $0.24 | -27.8% | +3.0% | -30.9% |
| Rally | 2012-05-18 | 2012-06-07 | 11 | $0.24 | $0.29 | +20.6% | +1.5% | +19.1% |
| Drawdown | 2012-06-07 | 2012-09-04 | 43 | $0.29 | $0.22 | -25.0% | +6.8% | -31.8% |
| Rally | 2012-09-04 | 2012-12-17 | 29 | $0.22 | $0.27 | +23.3% | +1.8% | +21.5% |
| Drawdown | 2012-12-17 | 2013-02-21 | 19 | $0.27 | $0.20 | -24.3% | +5.0% | -29.4% |
| Rally | 2013-02-21 | 2013-03-12 | 8 | $0.20 | $0.27 | +32.1% | +3.3% | +28.8% |
| Drawdown | 2013-03-12 | 2013-03-22 | 4 | $0.27 | $0.21 | -21.6% | +0.3% | -21.9% |
| Rally | 2013-03-22 | 2013-03-25 | 2 | $0.21 | $0.25 | +20.7% | -0.3% | +21.0% |
| Drawdown | 2013-03-25 | 2013-04-26 | 4 | $0.25 | $0.19 | -25.7% | +2.0% | -27.7% |
| Rally | 2013-04-26 | 2013-12-11 | 107 | $0.19 | $0.31 | +66.6% | +12.6% | +54.0% |
| Drawdown | 2013-12-11 | 2014-02-05 | 28 | $0.31 | $0.24 | -23.8% | -1.7% | -22.1% |
| Rally | 2014-02-05 | 2014-09-29 | 157 | $0.24 | $0.60 | +152.3% | +12.9% | +139.4% |
| Drawdown | 2014-09-29 | 2014-12-15 | 54 | $0.60 | $0.32 | -47.2% | +0.6% | -47.8% |
| Rally | 2014-12-15 | 2015-02-04 | 33 | $0.32 | $0.46 | +44.0% | +2.6% | +41.4% |
| Drawdown | 2015-02-04 | 2015-08-25 | 126 | $0.46 | $0.29 | -36.4% | -8.5% | -27.9% |
| Rally | 2015-08-25 | 2015-11-16 | 34 | $0.29 | $0.38 | +31.1% | +9.9% | +21.1% |
| Drawdown | 2015-11-16 | 2016-02-03 | 38 | $0.38 | $0.28 | -25.8% | -6.9% | -18.9% |
| Rally | 2016-02-03 | 2016-09-26 | 94 | $0.28 | $0.41 | +43.3% | +12.2% | +31.1% |
| Drawdown | 2016-09-26 | 2016-12-07 | 44 | $0.41 | $0.30 | -25.8% | +4.4% | -30.2% |
| Rally | 2016-12-07 | 2017-06-13 | 110 | $0.30 | $0.48 | +57.4% | +8.9% | +48.6% |
| Drawdown | 2017-06-13 | 2018-02-06 | 148 | $0.48 | $0.32 | -33.0% | +10.4% | -43.5% |
| Rally | 2018-02-06 | 2018-03-07 | 19 | $0.32 | $0.49 | +54.5% | +1.2% | +53.3% |
| Drawdown | 2018-03-07 | 2018-04-04 | 21 | $0.49 | $0.33 | -33.6% | -3.0% | -30.6% |
| Rally | 2018-04-04 | 2018-04-19 | 12 | $0.33 | $0.40 | +21.5% | +1.8% | +19.7% |
| Drawdown | 2018-04-19 | 2019-01-04 | 132 | $0.40 | $0.26 | -35.5% | -6.0% | -29.5% |
| Rally | 2019-01-04 | 2019-03-08 | 29 | $0.26 | $0.49 | +91.5% | +8.3% | +83.2% |
| Drawdown | 2019-03-08 | 2019-05-21 | 49 | $0.49 | $0.33 | -33.6% | +4.4% | -38.0% |
| Rally | 2019-05-21 | 2019-07-23 | 40 | $0.33 | $0.51 | +55.4% | +4.9% | +50.4% |
| Drawdown | 2019-07-23 | 2019-12-04 | 75 | $0.51 | $0.33 | -34.8% | +3.6% | -38.4% |
| Rally | 2019-12-04 | 2019-12-10 | 4 | $0.33 | $0.40 | +22.7% | +0.6% | +22.0% |
| Drawdown | 2019-12-10 | 2020-03-19 | 54 | $0.40 | $0.18 | -55.4% | -23.1% | -32.3% |
| Rally | 2020-03-19 | 2020-08-10 | 77 | $0.18 | $0.73 | +302.4% | +39.5% | +263.0% |
| Drawdown | 2020-08-10 | 2020-08-17 | 6 | $0.73 | $0.37 | -49.1% | +0.6% | -49.7% |
| Rally | 2020-08-17 | 2020-08-24 | 5 | $0.37 | $0.56 | +52.4% | +1.5% | +50.9% |
| Drawdown | 2020-08-24 | 2020-11-10 | 54 | $0.56 | $0.39 | -31.2% | +3.3% | -34.6% |
| Rally | 2020-11-10 | 2020-12-03 | 17 | $0.39 | $0.61 | +56.8% | +3.4% | +53.4% |
| Drawdown | 2020-12-03 | 2020-12-22 | 14 | $0.61 | $0.45 | -25.4% | +0.6% | -25.9% |
| Rally | 2020-12-22 | 2021-06-29 | 126 | $0.45 | $1.27 | +181.6% | +16.4% | +165.2% |
| Drawdown | 2021-06-29 | 2021-08-12 | 31 | $1.27 | $0.61 | -52.4% | +3.9% | -56.4% |
| Rally | 2021-08-12 | 2021-09-01 | 14 | $0.61 | $0.91 | +49.3% | +1.4% | +47.9% |
| Drawdown | 2021-09-01 | 2022-09-08 | 222 | $0.91 | $0.48 | -47.0% | -11.4% | -35.5% |
| Rally | 2022-09-08 | 2022-09-28 | 14 | $0.48 | $0.66 | +36.5% | -7.2% | +43.6% |
| Drawdown | 2022-09-28 | 2022-10-04 | 5 | $0.66 | $0.51 | -22.1% | +1.9% | -24.1% |
| Rally | 2022-10-04 | 2023-01-12 | 59 | $0.51 | $1.65 | +223.5% | +5.1% | +218.5% |
| Drawdown | 2023-01-12 | 2024-01-23 | 194 | $1.65 | $0.76 | -53.9% | +22.1% | -76.1% |
| Rally | 2024-01-23 | 2024-05-16 | 68 | $0.76 | $1.14 | +50.0% | +8.9% | +41.1% |
| Drawdown | 2024-05-16 | 2025-03-28 | 158 | $1.14 | $0.64 | -43.9% | +5.4% | -49.2% |
| Rally | 2025-03-28 | 2026-01-21 | 206 | $0.64 | $0.99 | +54.7% | +23.2% | +31.5% |
| Drawdown Ongoing | 2026-01-21 | 2026-11-06 | 204 | $0.99 | $0.81 | -18.7% | +7.0% | -25.6% |
Stock returns use adjusted closes. S&P 500 is the GSPC index price return over the same dates. Excess is the stock return minus the S&P 500 return.