Stock Regimes
Major swings and moving-average trends across the full price history, with each period compared to the S&P 500.
Price history
Green bands are rallies and red bands are drawdowns. A swing is confirmed when price reverses by at least 20%.
Versus the S&P 500
Both series are rebased to 100 at the first date they share in this window. Returns are price returns from adjusted closes, not dividend total return.
Regimes
| Direction | Start | End | Trading days | Start price | End price | Stock | Annualized | S&P 500 | Excess |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drawdown | 2007-07-02 | 2007-07-09 | 6 | $10.67 | $8.06 | -24.4% | -100.0% | +0.8% | -25.2% |
| Rally | 2007-07-09 | 2007-07-11 | 3 | $8.06 | $9.72 | +20.5% | +641,827,996.3% | -0.9% | +21.4% |
| Drawdown | 2007-07-11 | 2007-08-14 | 25 | $9.72 | $6.64 | -31.7% | -97.9% | -6.1% | -25.6% |
| Rally | 2007-08-14 | 2007-11-06 | 61 | $6.64 | $9.01 | +35.7% | +253.0% | +6.6% | +29.1% |
| Drawdown | 2007-11-06 | 2008-02-20 | 74 | $9.01 | $5.39 | -40.1% | -82.6% | -10.5% | -29.6% |
| Rally | 2008-02-20 | 2008-05-23 | 64 | $5.39 | $8.74 | +62.0% | +568.6% | +1.2% | +60.8% |
| Drawdown | 2008-05-23 | 2008-10-10 | 101 | $8.74 | $3.84 | -56.1% | -87.2% | -34.6% | -21.4% |
| Rally | 2008-10-10 | 2008-10-14 | 3 | $3.84 | $4.70 | +22.4% | +2,345,162,134.3% | +11.0% | +11.4% |
| Drawdown | 2008-10-14 | 2009-03-06 | 101 | $4.70 | $2.01 | -57.3% | -88.0% | -31.5% | -25.8% |
| Rally | 2009-03-06 | 2010-03-05 | 255 | $2.01 | $5.62 | +180.1% | +176.7% | +66.6% | +113.5% |
| Drawdown | 2010-03-05 | 2010-08-12 | 113 | $5.62 | $3.96 | -29.5% | -54.2% | -4.8% | -24.7% |
| Rally | 2010-08-12 | 2011-06-09 | 214 | $3.96 | $5.70 | +44.1% | +53.7% | +19.0% | +25.1% |
| Drawdown | 2011-06-09 | 2011-12-14 | 135 | $5.70 | $3.64 | -36.1% | -56.7% | -6.0% | -30.1% |
| Rally | 2011-12-14 | 2012-03-13 | 64 | $3.64 | $4.94 | +35.6% | +231.9% | +15.2% | +20.4% |
| Drawdown | 2012-03-13 | 2012-10-09 | 148 | $4.94 | $3.92 | -20.6% | -32.5% | +3.3% | -23.8% |
| Rally | 2012-10-09 | 2013-03-20 | 114 | $3.92 | $4.96 | +26.4% | +67.7% | +8.1% | +18.2% |
| Drawdown | 2013-03-20 | 2013-06-24 | 66 | $4.96 | $3.88 | -21.8% | -60.8% | +0.9% | -22.7% |
| Rally | 2013-06-24 | 2015-04-27 | 470 | $3.88 | $11.10 | +186.4% | +75.8% | +34.1% | +152.3% |
| Drawdown | 2015-04-27 | 2016-02-24 | 215 | $11.10 | $7.00 | -37.0% | -41.8% | -8.5% | -28.5% |
| Rally | 2016-02-24 | 2016-06-23 | 85 | $7.00 | $9.30 | +32.9% | +132.2% | +9.5% | +23.4% |
| Drawdown | 2016-06-23 | 2016-06-27 | 3 | $9.30 | $6.59 | -29.1% | -100.0% | -5.3% | -23.7% |
| Rally | 2016-06-27 | 2016-08-24 | 43 | $6.59 | $8.07 | +22.4% | +226.1% | +8.7% | +13.6% |
| Drawdown | 2016-08-24 | 2016-11-23 | 66 | $8.07 | $6.38 | -21.0% | -59.3% | +1.3% | -22.3% |
| Rally | 2016-11-23 | 2020-02-18 | 826 | $6.38 | $14.51 | +127.6% | +28.5% | +52.9% | +74.8% |
| Drawdown | 2020-02-18 | 2020-03-19 | 23 | $14.51 | $7.39 | -49.1% | -99.9% | -28.5% | -20.6% |
| Rally | 2020-03-19 | 2020-06-04 | 53 | $7.39 | $12.25 | +65.8% | +1,005.5% | +29.2% | +36.6% |
| Drawdown | 2020-06-04 | 2020-09-25 | 82 | $12.25 | $9.62 | -21.5% | -52.5% | +6.0% | -27.5% |
| Rally | 2020-09-25 | 2022-08-16 | 487 | $9.62 | $17.23 | +79.2% | +35.2% | +30.5% | +48.7% |
| Drawdown | 2022-08-16 | 2023-03-27 | 159 | $17.23 | $12.64 | -26.7% | -38.8% | -7.6% | -19.0% |
| Rally Ongoing | 2023-03-27 | 2026-11-06 | 924 | $12.64 | $20.22 | +60.0% | +13.7% | +85.5% | -25.5% |
Stock returns use adjusted closes. Annualized compounds that stock return over a 252-trading-day year. S&P 500 is the GSPC index price return over the same dates. Excess is the stock return minus the S&P 500 return.