Stock Regimes
Major swings and moving-average trends across the full price history, with each period compared to the S&P 500.
Price history
Green bands are rallies and red bands are drawdowns. A swing is confirmed when price reverses by at least 20%.
Versus the S&P 500
Both series are rebased to 100 at the first date they share in this window. Returns are price returns from adjusted closes, not dividend total return.
Regimes
| Direction | Start | End | Trading days | Start price | End price | Stock | S&P 500 | Excess |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drawdown | 2007-05-25 | 2008-03-10 | 199 | $24.78 | $16.75 | -32.4% | -16.0% | -16.4% |
| Rally | 2008-03-10 | 2008-06-10 | 65 | $16.75 | $23.75 | +41.8% | +6.7% | +35.1% |
| Drawdown | 2008-06-10 | 2008-09-29 | 78 | $23.75 | $17.94 | -24.5% | -18.6% | -5.9% |
| Rally | 2008-09-29 | 2008-09-30 | 2 | $17.94 | $22.99 | +28.1% | +5.4% | +22.7% |
| Drawdown | 2008-09-30 | 2008-11-20 | 38 | $22.99 | $9.20 | -60.0% | -35.5% | -24.5% |
| Rally | 2008-11-20 | 2009-01-08 | 33 | $9.20 | $14.71 | +59.9% | +20.9% | +39.0% |
| Drawdown | 2009-01-08 | 2009-01-20 | 8 | $14.71 | $11.32 | -23.0% | -11.5% | -11.6% |
| Rally | 2009-01-20 | 2010-11-08 | 456 | $11.32 | $29.79 | +163.2% | +51.9% | +111.2% |
| Drawdown | 2010-11-08 | 2011-09-28 | 225 | $29.79 | $20.23 | -32.1% | -5.9% | -26.2% |
| Rally | 2011-09-28 | 2014-09-04 | 738 | $20.23 | $35.00 | +73.0% | +73.5% | -0.5% |
| Drawdown | 2014-09-04 | 2016-01-19 | 346 | $35.00 | $16.81 | -52.0% | -5.8% | -46.1% |
| Rally | 2016-01-19 | 2017-01-04 | 244 | $16.81 | $23.95 | +42.5% | +20.7% | +21.8% |
| Drawdown | 2017-01-04 | 2018-12-31 | 501 | $23.95 | $8.62 | -64.0% | +10.4% | -74.4% |
| Rally | 2018-12-31 | 2019-04-29 | 82 | $8.62 | $12.37 | +43.5% | +17.4% | +26.1% |
| Drawdown | 2019-04-29 | 2019-08-05 | 69 | $12.37 | $8.14 | -34.2% | -3.3% | -30.9% |
| Rally | 2019-08-05 | 2019-11-04 | 65 | $8.14 | $10.97 | +34.8% | +8.2% | +26.6% |
| Drawdown | 2019-11-04 | 2020-04-01 | 103 | $10.97 | $5.25 | -52.1% | -19.7% | -32.4% |
| Rally | 2020-04-01 | 2020-06-08 | 47 | $5.25 | $7.73 | +47.2% | +30.8% | +16.4% |
| Drawdown | 2020-06-08 | 2020-07-09 | 23 | $7.73 | $6.18 | -20.1% | -2.5% | -17.6% |
| Rally | 2020-07-09 | 2021-05-14 | 215 | $6.18 | $9.58 | +55.0% | +32.4% | +22.6% |
| Drawdown | 2021-05-14 | 2022-04-18 | 234 | $9.58 | $6.56 | -31.5% | +5.2% | -36.7% |
| Rally | 2022-04-18 | 2024-11-06 | 644 | $6.56 | $15.48 | +136.0% | +35.0% | +101.0% |
| Drawdown | 2024-11-06 | 2025-11-04 | 249 | $15.48 | $11.95 | -22.8% | +14.2% | -37.0% |
| Rally | 2025-11-04 | 2026-04-24 | 118 | $11.95 | $19.00 | +59.0% | +5.8% | +53.2% |
| Drawdown | 2026-04-24 | 2026-06-03 | 28 | $19.00 | $14.69 | -22.7% | +5.4% | -28.1% |
| Rally Ongoing | 2026-06-03 | 2026-11-05 | 109 | $14.69 | $16.38 | +11.5% | -2.6% | +14.2% |
Stock returns use adjusted closes. S&P 500 is the GSPC index price return over the same dates. Excess is the stock return minus the S&P 500 return.