Stock Regimes
Major swings and moving-average trends across the full price history, with each period compared to the S&P 500.
Price history
Green bands are rallies and red bands are drawdowns. A swing is confirmed when price reverses by at least 20%.
Versus the S&P 500
Both series are rebased to 100 at the first date they share in this window. Returns are price returns from adjusted closes, not dividend total return.
Regimes
| Direction | Start | End | Trading days | Start price | End price | Stock | S&P 500 | Excess |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drawdown | 2012-05-18 | 2012-06-05 | 12 | $37.87 | $25.62 | -32.3% | -0.8% | -31.6% |
| Rally | 2012-06-05 | 2012-06-26 | 16 | $25.62 | $32.79 | +27.9% | +2.7% | +25.3% |
| Drawdown | 2012-06-26 | 2012-09-04 | 49 | $32.79 | $17.56 | -46.4% | +6.4% | -52.9% |
| Rally | 2012-09-04 | 2013-01-28 | 99 | $17.56 | $32.16 | +83.1% | +6.8% | +76.4% |
| Drawdown | 2013-01-28 | 2013-06-05 | 90 | $32.16 | $22.68 | -29.5% | +7.2% | -36.7% |
| Rally | 2013-06-05 | 2014-03-10 | 192 | $22.68 | $71.35 | +214.5% | +16.7% | +197.9% |
| Drawdown | 2014-03-10 | 2014-04-28 | 35 | $71.35 | $55.61 | -22.1% | -0.4% | -21.6% |
| Rally | 2014-04-28 | 2018-02-01 | 950 | $55.61 | $191.26 | +243.9% | +51.0% | +193.0% |
| Drawdown | 2018-02-01 | 2018-03-27 | 38 | $191.26 | $150.78 | -21.2% | -7.4% | -13.7% |
| Rally | 2018-03-27 | 2018-07-25 | 84 | $150.78 | $215.44 | +42.9% | +8.9% | +33.9% |
| Drawdown | 2018-07-25 | 2018-12-24 | 106 | $215.44 | $122.88 | -43.0% | -17.4% | -25.6% |
| Rally | 2018-12-24 | 2020-01-29 | 276 | $122.88 | $221.11 | +79.9% | +39.2% | +40.7% |
| Drawdown | 2020-01-29 | 2020-03-16 | 33 | $221.11 | $144.62 | -34.6% | -27.1% | -7.5% |
| Rally | 2020-03-16 | 2021-09-07 | 374 | $144.62 | $378.55 | +161.7% | +89.4% | +72.3% |
| Drawdown | 2021-09-07 | 2022-03-14 | 131 | $378.55 | $184.86 | -51.2% | -7.7% | -43.5% |
| Rally | 2022-03-14 | 2022-04-04 | 16 | $184.86 | $231.67 | +25.3% | +9.8% | +15.5% |
| Drawdown | 2022-04-04 | 2022-04-27 | 17 | $231.67 | $173.29 | -25.2% | -8.7% | -16.5% |
| Rally | 2022-04-27 | 2022-05-04 | 6 | $173.29 | $221.29 | +27.7% | +2.8% | +24.9% |
| Drawdown | 2022-05-04 | 2022-11-03 | 128 | $221.29 | $88.07 | -60.2% | -13.5% | -46.7% |
| Rally | 2022-11-03 | 2025-02-14 | 572 | $88.07 | $732.47 | +731.7% | +64.4% | +667.3% |
| Drawdown | 2025-02-14 | 2025-04-21 | 45 | $732.47 | $482.32 | -34.2% | -15.6% | -18.5% |
| Rally | 2025-04-21 | 2025-08-12 | 79 | $482.32 | $786.80 | +63.1% | +25.0% | +38.2% |
| Drawdown | 2025-08-12 | 2025-11-20 | 72 | $786.80 | $587.16 | -25.4% | +1.4% | -26.8% |
| Rally | 2025-11-20 | 2026-01-29 | 47 | $587.16 | $736.41 | +25.4% | +6.6% | +18.8% |
| Drawdown | 2026-01-29 | 2026-03-27 | 41 | $736.41 | $524.82 | -28.7% | -8.6% | -20.1% |
| Rally | 2026-03-27 | 2026-04-17 | 15 | $524.82 | $687.37 | +31.0% | +11.9% | +19.1% |
| Drawdown | 2026-04-17 | 2026-06-25 | 48 | $687.37 | $542.44 | -21.1% | +3.2% | -24.3% |
| Rally | 2026-06-25 | 2026-07-15 | 14 | $542.44 | $680.77 | +25.5% | +2.9% | +22.6% |
| Drawdown | 2026-07-15 | 2026-07-30 | 12 | $680.77 | $538.60 | -20.9% | -1.8% | -19.1% |
| Rally | 2026-07-30 | 2026-09-24 | 40 | $538.60 | $777.59 | +44.4% | +3.6% | +40.8% |
| Drawdown Ongoing | 2026-09-24 | 2026-11-05 | 31 | $777.59 | $605.08 | -22.2% | -4.5% | -17.6% |
Stock returns use adjusted closes. S&P 500 is the GSPC index price return over the same dates. Excess is the stock return minus the S&P 500 return.