Stock Regimes
Major swings and moving-average trends across the full price history, with each period compared to the S&P 500.
Symbol
PII.US
Window
1987-09-16 – 2026-11-05
Min reversal 20%
Regimes
76
Current regime
Rally
since 2026-10-14 · +27.2%
Stock return
+1,148,114.3%
S&P 500
+2,235.6%
Excess
+1,145,878.7%
Price history
Green bands are rallies and red bands are drawdowns. A swing is confirmed when price reverses by at least 20%.
Close
Rally
Drawdown
Versus the S&P 500
Both series are rebased to 100 at the first date they share in this window. Returns are price returns from adjusted closes, not dividend total return.
PII.US
S&P 500
Regimes
| Direction | Start | End | Trading days | Start price | End price | Stock | S&P 500 | Excess |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drawdown | 1987-10-08 | 1987-10-20 | 9 | $0.01 | $0.00 | -30.2% | -24.6% | -5.5% |
| Rally | 1987-10-20 | 1990-05-14 | 649 | $0.00 | $0.71 | +15,952.3% | +49.8% | +15,902.5% |
| Drawdown | 1990-05-14 | 1990-08-23 | 72 | $0.71 | $0.50 | -29.0% | -13.4% | -15.5% |
| Rally | 1990-08-23 | 1994-12-21 | 1,096 | $0.50 | $3.42 | +582.4% | +49.7% | +532.7% |
| Drawdown | 1994-12-21 | 1995-07-10 | 138 | $3.42 | $2.72 | -20.5% | +21.2% | -41.7% |
| Rally | 1995-07-10 | 1996-04-22 | 200 | $2.72 | $4.10 | +50.6% | +16.3% | +34.4% |
| Drawdown | 1996-04-22 | 1996-10-29 | 134 | $4.10 | $2.22 | -46.0% | +8.3% | -54.3% |
| Rally | 1996-10-29 | 1998-04-20 | 371 | $2.22 | $4.69 | +111.5% | +60.2% | +51.4% |
| Drawdown | 1998-04-20 | 1998-10-13 | 124 | $4.69 | $3.00 | -35.9% | -11.5% | -24.4% |
| Rally | 1998-10-13 | 1999-01-04 | 57 | $3.00 | $4.81 | +60.2% | +23.5% | +36.8% |
| Drawdown | 1999-01-04 | 1999-03-09 | 45 | $4.81 | $3.32 | -31.1% | +4.2% | -35.3% |
| Rally | 1999-03-09 | 1999-06-10 | 66 | $3.32 | $5.63 | +69.9% | +1.8% | +68.1% |
| Drawdown | 1999-06-10 | 1999-10-27 | 98 | $5.63 | $4.06 | -28.0% | -0.5% | -27.5% |
| Rally | 1999-10-27 | 1999-11-15 | 14 | $4.06 | $4.93 | +21.6% | +7.5% | +14.1% |
| Drawdown | 1999-11-15 | 2000-02-18 | 67 | $4.93 | $3.26 | -33.9% | -3.5% | -30.4% |
| Rally | 2000-02-18 | 2001-02-26 | 257 | $3.26 | $6.66 | +104.2% | -5.8% | +110.0% |
| Drawdown | 2001-02-26 | 2001-04-24 | 41 | $6.66 | $4.77 | -28.3% | -4.6% | -23.7% |
| Rally | 2001-04-24 | 2001-08-28 | 89 | $4.77 | $6.65 | +39.2% | -4.0% | +43.2% |
| Drawdown | 2001-08-28 | 2001-09-27 | 18 | $6.65 | $4.84 | -27.2% | -12.3% | -14.9% |
| Rally | 2001-09-27 | 2002-05-06 | 152 | $4.84 | $10.07 | +108.1% | +3.3% | +104.8% |
| Drawdown | 2002-05-06 | 2002-07-23 | 55 | $10.07 | $7.94 | -21.1% | -24.2% | +3.1% |
| Rally | 2002-07-23 | 2002-09-10 | 35 | $7.94 | $10.04 | +26.4% | +14.0% | +12.4% |
| Drawdown | 2002-09-10 | 2003-03-11 | 126 | $10.04 | $5.96 | -40.6% | -12.0% | -28.7% |
| Rally | 2003-03-11 | 2005-03-15 | 508 | $5.96 | $20.61 | +245.6% | +49.6% | +196.0% |
| Drawdown | 2005-03-15 | 2005-10-27 | 159 | $20.61 | $12.52 | -39.2% | -1.6% | -37.7% |
| Rally | 2005-10-27 | 2006-03-31 | 107 | $12.52 | $15.56 | +24.3% | +9.8% | +14.5% |
| Drawdown | 2006-03-31 | 2006-08-25 | 103 | $15.56 | $10.48 | -32.7% | +0.0% | -32.7% |
| Rally | 2006-08-25 | 2007-07-17 | 223 | $10.48 | $17.06 | +62.9% | +19.6% | +43.2% |
| Drawdown | 2007-07-17 | 2007-09-17 | 44 | $17.06 | $12.87 | -24.5% | -4.7% | -19.9% |
| Rally | 2007-09-17 | 2007-10-18 | 24 | $12.87 | $16.11 | +25.1% | +4.3% | +20.8% |
| Drawdown | 2007-10-18 | 2008-01-18 | 64 | $16.11 | $10.91 | -32.2% | -14.0% | -18.3% |
| Rally | 2008-01-18 | 2008-06-05 | 96 | $10.91 | $15.14 | +38.7% | +6.0% | +32.7% |
| Drawdown | 2008-06-05 | 2008-07-11 | 26 | $15.14 | $11.69 | -22.8% | -11.7% | -11.1% |
| Rally | 2008-07-11 | 2008-09-19 | 50 | $11.69 | $16.13 | +38.0% | +1.3% | +36.7% |
| Drawdown | 2008-09-19 | 2008-10-27 | 27 | $16.13 | $7.95 | -50.7% | -32.4% | -18.4% |
| Rally | 2008-10-27 | 2008-10-31 | 5 | $7.95 | $10.47 | +31.8% | +14.1% | +17.6% |
| Drawdown | 2008-10-31 | 2008-11-20 | 15 | $10.47 | $6.28 | -40.0% | -22.3% | -17.7% |
| Rally | 2008-11-20 | 2009-01-06 | 31 | $6.28 | $10.12 | +61.1% | +24.2% | +36.9% |
| Drawdown | 2009-01-06 | 2009-03-09 | 43 | $10.12 | $4.62 | -54.3% | -27.6% | -26.7% |
| Rally | 2009-03-09 | 2009-05-08 | 44 | $4.62 | $11.33 | +145.1% | +37.4% | +107.8% |
| Drawdown | 2009-05-08 | 2009-05-22 | 11 | $11.33 | $8.78 | -22.5% | -4.5% | -18.0% |
| Rally | 2009-05-22 | 2011-07-22 | 547 | $8.78 | $41.56 | +373.4% | +51.6% | +321.8% |
| Drawdown | 2011-07-22 | 2011-08-10 | 14 | $41.56 | $31.38 | -24.5% | -16.7% | -7.8% |
| Rally | 2011-08-10 | 2015-02-26 | 892 | $31.38 | $113.85 | +262.8% | +88.3% | +174.4% |
| Drawdown | 2015-02-26 | 2016-01-28 | 233 | $113.85 | $50.92 | -55.3% | -10.3% | -45.0% |
| Rally | 2016-01-28 | 2016-04-26 | 62 | $50.92 | $74.37 | +46.0% | +10.5% | +35.6% |
| Drawdown | 2016-04-26 | 2016-06-27 | 44 | $74.37 | $57.94 | -22.1% | -4.4% | -17.7% |
| Rally | 2016-06-27 | 2016-07-29 | 24 | $57.94 | $73.16 | +26.3% | +8.7% | +17.6% |
| Drawdown | 2016-07-29 | 2016-09-16 | 35 | $73.16 | $52.55 | -28.2% | -1.6% | -26.6% |
| Rally | 2016-09-16 | 2018-01-25 | 342 | $52.55 | $104.01 | +97.9% | +32.7% | +65.2% |
| Drawdown | 2018-01-25 | 2018-04-27 | 65 | $104.01 | $80.74 | -22.4% | -6.0% | -16.4% |
| Rally | 2018-04-27 | 2018-06-15 | 35 | $80.74 | $101.46 | +25.7% | +4.1% | +21.6% |
| Drawdown | 2018-06-15 | 2018-10-24 | 92 | $101.46 | $66.26 | -34.7% | -4.4% | -30.2% |
| Rally | 2018-10-24 | 2018-12-03 | 28 | $66.26 | $79.86 | +20.5% | +5.1% | +15.5% |
| Drawdown | 2018-12-03 | 2018-12-21 | 14 | $79.86 | $56.85 | -28.8% | -13.4% | -15.4% |
| Rally | 2018-12-21 | 2019-05-02 | 90 | $56.85 | $80.74 | +42.0% | +20.7% | +21.3% |
| Drawdown | 2019-05-02 | 2019-08-23 | 80 | $80.74 | $61.82 | -23.4% | -2.4% | -21.0% |
| Rally | 2019-08-23 | 2020-01-02 | 91 | $61.82 | $83.25 | +34.7% | +14.4% | +20.2% |
| Drawdown | 2020-01-02 | 2020-03-23 | 56 | $83.25 | $34.00 | -59.2% | -31.3% | -27.8% |
| Rally | 2020-03-23 | 2020-03-26 | 4 | $34.00 | $43.22 | +27.1% | +17.6% | +9.6% |
| Drawdown | 2020-03-26 | 2020-04-03 | 7 | $43.22 | $31.75 | -26.5% | -5.4% | -21.2% |
| Rally | 2020-04-03 | 2021-04-23 | 266 | $31.75 | $122.16 | +284.8% | +68.0% | +216.8% |
| Drawdown | 2021-04-23 | 2021-12-20 | 168 | $122.16 | $86.87 | -28.9% | +9.3% | -38.2% |
| Rally | 2021-12-20 | 2022-02-16 | 41 | $86.87 | $107.35 | +23.6% | -2.0% | +25.6% |
| Drawdown | 2022-02-16 | 2022-04-29 | 51 | $107.35 | $80.85 | -24.7% | -7.7% | -17.0% |
| Rally | 2022-04-29 | 2022-08-16 | 75 | $80.85 | $104.94 | +29.8% | +4.2% | +25.6% |
| Drawdown | 2022-08-16 | 2022-10-20 | 47 | $104.94 | $79.82 | -23.9% | -14.9% | -9.1% |
| Rally | 2022-10-20 | 2023-07-26 | 191 | $79.82 | $120.24 | +50.6% | +24.6% | +26.1% |
| Drawdown | 2023-07-26 | 2023-11-30 | 90 | $120.24 | $73.27 | -39.1% | +0.0% | -39.1% |
| Rally | 2023-11-30 | 2024-03-28 | 82 | $73.27 | $89.58 | +22.3% | +15.0% | +7.2% |
| Drawdown | 2024-03-28 | 2025-04-08 | 258 | $89.58 | $29.78 | -66.8% | -5.2% | -61.6% |
| Rally | 2025-04-08 | 2026-01-08 | 190 | $29.78 | $71.32 | +139.4% | +38.9% | +100.5% |
| Drawdown | 2026-01-08 | 2026-04-15 | 67 | $71.32 | $46.92 | -34.2% | +1.5% | -35.7% |
| Rally | 2026-04-15 | 2026-07-27 | 71 | $46.92 | $73.91 | +57.5% | +5.6% | +52.0% |
| Drawdown | 2026-07-27 | 2026-10-14 | 57 | $73.91 | $50.56 | -31.6% | +4.1% | -35.7% |
| Rally Ongoing | 2026-10-14 | 2026-11-05 | 17 | $50.56 | $64.30 | +27.2% | -4.7% | +31.9% |
Stock returns use adjusted closes. S&P 500 is the GSPC index price return over the same dates. Excess is the stock return minus the S&P 500 return.