Stock Regimes

Major swings and moving-average trends across the full price history, with each period compared to the S&P 500.

Symbol
SEE.US
Window
1984-11-05 โ€“ 2026-04-09
Min reversal 20%
Regimes
65
Current regime
Rally
since 2025-04-08 ยท +80.0%
Stock return
+1,782.7%
S&P 500
+3,948.3%
Excess
-2,165.6%

Price history

Green bands are rallies and red bands are drawdowns. A swing is confirmed when price reverses by at least 20%.

Close Rally Drawdown

Versus the S&P 500

Both series are rebased to 100 at the first date they share in this window. Returns are price returns from adjusted closes, not dividend total return.

SEE.US S&P 500

Regimes

Direction Start End Trading days Start price End price Stock S&P 500 Excess
Rally 1984-12-17 1986-04-23 340 $1.84 $3.65 +98.9% +47.8% +51.2%
Drawdown 1986-04-23 1986-08-05 73 $3.65 $2.80 -23.3% -2.0% -21.4%
Rally 1986-08-05 1987-03-27 164 $2.80 $4.41 +57.5% +24.9% +32.6%
Drawdown 1987-03-27 1987-10-26 148 $4.41 $2.46 -44.2% -23.1% -21.0%
Rally 1987-10-26 1989-05-04 385 $2.46 $4.42 +79.4% +35.2% +44.2%
Drawdown 1989-05-04 1989-05-12 7 $4.42 $1.07 -75.8% +2.0% -77.8%
Rally 1989-05-12 1989-10-10 105 $1.07 $1.99 +86.0% +14.4% +71.6%
Drawdown 1989-10-10 1989-12-20 51 $1.99 $1.58 -20.4% -4.5% -15.9%
Rally 1989-12-20 1990-06-18 124 $1.58 $2.63 +66.2% +4.1% +62.1%
Drawdown 1990-06-18 1990-09-28 73 $2.63 $1.61 -38.6% -14.2% -24.4%
Rally 1990-09-28 1992-02-14 346 $1.61 $4.84 +200.0% +34.8% +165.2%
Drawdown 1992-02-14 1992-10-14 169 $4.84 $3.53 -27.2% -0.8% -26.4%
Rally 1992-10-14 1998-03-10 1,365 $3.53 $23.78 +573.9% +160.0% +414.0%
Drawdown 1998-03-10 1998-07-06 82 $23.78 $12.06 -49.3% +8.7% -58.0%
Rally 1998-07-06 1998-08-25 37 $12.06 $15.03 +24.6% -5.6% +30.2%
Drawdown 1998-08-25 1998-10-08 32 $15.03 $9.54 -36.6% -12.2% -24.4%
Rally 1998-10-08 1999-06-04 165 $9.54 $23.18 +143.0% +38.4% +104.7%
Drawdown 1999-06-04 1999-12-14 135 $23.18 $15.40 -33.6% +5.7% -39.3%
Rally 1999-12-14 2000-01-13 22 $15.40 $20.79 +35.0% +3.3% +31.7%
Drawdown 2000-01-13 2000-03-14 42 $20.79 $15.18 -27.0% -6.2% -20.7%
Rally 2000-03-14 2000-04-10 20 $15.18 $20.08 +32.3% +10.7% +21.6%
Drawdown 2000-04-10 2000-10-23 137 $20.08 $14.63 -27.2% -7.2% -19.9%
Rally 2000-10-23 2000-11-07 12 $14.63 $17.79 +21.6% +2.6% +19.1%
Drawdown 2000-11-07 2000-12-19 30 $17.79 $9.15 -48.6% -8.8% -39.7%
Rally 2000-12-19 2001-03-09 55 $9.15 $14.01 +53.1% -5.5% +58.6%
Drawdown 2001-03-09 2001-04-03 18 $14.01 $10.88 -22.3% -10.3% -12.1%
Rally 2001-04-03 2001-05-18 33 $10.88 $15.28 +40.4% +16.8% +23.6%
Drawdown 2001-05-18 2001-09-21 84 $15.28 $11.32 -25.9% -25.2% -0.7%
Rally 2001-09-21 2001-12-06 54 $11.32 $16.05 +41.8% +20.8% +21.0%
Drawdown 2001-12-06 2002-01-16 28 $16.05 $12.52 -22.0% -3.4% -18.6%
Rally 2002-01-16 2002-04-10 58 $12.52 $16.47 +31.5% +0.3% +31.2%
Drawdown 2002-04-10 2002-07-23 73 $16.47 $10.72 -34.9% -29.4% -5.5%
Rally 2002-07-23 2002-07-29 5 $10.72 $12.92 +20.6% +12.7% +7.9%
Drawdown 2002-07-29 2002-07-31 3 $12.92 $4.96 -61.6% +1.4% -63.0%
Rally 2002-07-31 2002-10-01 44 $4.96 $6.15 +23.9% -7.0% +30.9%
Drawdown 2002-10-01 2002-10-10 8 $6.15 $4.50 -26.9% -5.2% -21.7%
Rally 2002-10-10 2006-04-05 878 $4.50 $20.25 +350.1% +63.1% +286.9%
Drawdown 2006-04-05 2006-07-27 79 $20.25 $15.76 -22.2% -3.7% -18.5%
Rally 2006-07-27 2007-02-21 143 $15.76 $23.33 +48.0% +15.4% +32.6%
Drawdown 2007-02-21 2008-01-09 224 $23.33 $14.27 -38.8% -3.3% -35.5%
Rally 2008-01-09 2008-04-25 75 $14.27 $19.88 +39.3% -0.8% +40.1%
Drawdown 2008-04-25 2008-07-14 55 $19.88 $12.95 -34.8% -12.1% -22.7%
Rally 2008-07-14 2008-09-12 44 $12.95 $17.82 +37.6% +1.9% +35.7%
Drawdown 2008-09-12 2008-11-20 50 $17.82 $8.98 -49.6% -39.9% -9.7%
Rally 2008-11-20 2008-11-28 6 $8.98 $11.28 +25.5% +19.1% +6.4%
Drawdown 2008-11-28 2009-03-03 64 $11.28 $7.49 -33.6% -22.3% -11.3%
Rally 2009-03-03 2011-02-14 494 $7.49 $21.60 +188.3% +91.3% +97.0%
Drawdown 2011-02-14 2011-10-03 161 $21.60 $12.03 -44.3% -17.5% -26.8%
Rally 2011-10-03 2012-02-17 96 $12.03 $16.34 +35.8% +23.8% +12.0%
Drawdown 2012-02-17 2012-08-23 131 $16.34 $10.33 -36.8% +3.0% -39.8%
Rally 2012-08-23 2015-08-05 741 $10.33 $46.24 +347.7% +49.8% +297.9%
Drawdown 2015-08-05 2016-01-28 122 $46.24 $32.19 -30.4% -9.8% -20.5%
Rally 2016-01-28 2016-04-27 63 $32.19 $44.34 +37.7% +10.7% +27.1%
Drawdown 2016-04-27 2018-10-24 630 $44.34 $26.81 -39.5% +26.8% -66.3%
Rally 2018-10-24 2019-04-11 116 $26.81 $41.19 +53.6% +8.7% +44.9%
Drawdown 2019-04-11 2020-03-18 236 $41.19 $15.70 -61.9% -17.0% -44.9%
Rally 2020-03-18 2022-03-29 513 $15.70 $64.61 +311.6% +93.1% +218.5%
Drawdown 2022-03-29 2022-11-03 153 $64.61 $38.40 -40.6% -19.7% -20.9%
Rally 2022-11-03 2023-02-02 62 $38.40 $52.33 +36.3% +12.4% +23.9%
Drawdown 2023-02-02 2023-05-31 82 $52.33 $35.38 -32.4% +0.0% -32.4%
Rally 2023-05-31 2023-07-25 38 $35.38 $43.89 +24.1% +9.3% +14.8%
Drawdown 2023-07-25 2023-10-23 64 $43.89 $27.00 -38.5% -7.7% -30.8%
Rally 2023-10-23 2024-06-04 155 $27.00 $38.29 +41.8% +25.5% +16.3%
Drawdown 2024-06-04 2025-04-08 212 $38.29 $23.42 -38.8% -5.8% -33.0%
Rally Ongoing 2025-04-08 2026-04-09 252 $23.42 $42.15 +80.0% +37.0% +43.0%

Stock returns use adjusted closes. S&P 500 is the GSPC index price return over the same dates. Excess is the stock return minus the S&P 500 return.