Stock Regimes
Major swings and moving-average trends across the full price history, with each period compared to the S&P 500.
Price history
Green bands are rallies and red bands are drawdowns. A swing is confirmed when price reverses by at least 20%.
Versus the S&P 500
Both series are rebased to 100 at the first date they share in this window. Returns are price returns from adjusted closes, not dividend total return.
Regimes
| Direction | Start | End | Trading days | Start price | End price | Stock | S&P 500 | Excess |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drawdown | 1989-02-22 | 1989-05-25 | 66 | $0.10 | $0.06 | -33.3% | +9.7% | -43.0% |
| Rally | 1989-05-25 | 1989-10-13 | 99 | $0.06 | $0.08 | +29.9% | +4.5% | +25.4% |
| Drawdown | 1989-10-13 | 1989-11-13 | 22 | $0.08 | $0.06 | -23.0% | +1.8% | -24.8% |
| Rally | 1989-11-13 | 1990-07-20 | 173 | $0.06 | $0.17 | +159.9% | +6.5% | +153.4% |
| Drawdown | 1990-07-20 | 1990-10-01 | 51 | $0.17 | $0.12 | -30.8% | -12.9% | -17.9% |
| Rally | 1990-10-01 | 1991-08-21 | 226 | $0.12 | $0.54 | +361.1% | +24.0% | +337.0% |
| Drawdown | 1991-08-21 | 1991-09-10 | 14 | $0.54 | $0.41 | -24.1% | -1.5% | -22.5% |
| Rally | 1991-09-10 | 1991-11-12 | 46 | $0.41 | $0.68 | +66.7% | +3.2% | +63.5% |
| Drawdown | 1991-11-12 | 1991-11-19 | 6 | $0.68 | $0.51 | -25.7% | -4.4% | -21.3% |
| Rally | 1991-11-19 | 1992-01-13 | 37 | $0.51 | $0.69 | +35.9% | +9.2% | +26.7% |
| Drawdown | 1992-01-13 | 1992-04-08 | 62 | $0.69 | $0.44 | -35.8% | -4.8% | -31.1% |
| Rally | 1992-04-08 | 1993-02-03 | 209 | $0.44 | $0.96 | +117.6% | +13.4% | +104.3% |
| Drawdown | 1993-02-03 | 1993-06-18 | 95 | $0.96 | $0.63 | -33.8% | -0.8% | -33.0% |
| Rally | 1993-06-18 | 1993-09-10 | 59 | $0.63 | $0.84 | +32.7% | +4.1% | +28.6% |
| Drawdown | 1993-09-10 | 1994-01-21 | 94 | $0.84 | $0.49 | -41.5% | +2.8% | -44.4% |
| Rally | 1994-01-21 | 1994-05-06 | 73 | $0.49 | $0.65 | +31.6% | -5.7% | +37.3% |
| Drawdown | 1994-05-06 | 1994-08-04 | 63 | $0.65 | $0.45 | -30.0% | +2.4% | -32.4% |
| Rally | 1994-08-04 | 1994-10-19 | 54 | $0.45 | $0.65 | +42.9% | +2.6% | +40.3% |
| Drawdown | 1994-10-19 | 1994-12-15 | 41 | $0.65 | $0.49 | -24.0% | -3.2% | -20.8% |
| Rally | 1994-12-15 | 1995-11-24 | 239 | $0.49 | $1.25 | +154.0% | +31.8% | +122.2% |
| Drawdown | 1995-11-24 | 1996-02-01 | 48 | $1.25 | $0.94 | -24.9% | +6.4% | -31.3% |
| Rally | 1996-02-01 | 1996-06-14 | 94 | $0.94 | $1.70 | +80.7% | +4.3% | +76.4% |
| Drawdown | 1996-06-14 | 1996-09-26 | 73 | $1.70 | $1.14 | -32.8% | +3.0% | -35.8% |
| Rally | 1996-09-26 | 1997-10-24 | 274 | $1.14 | $2.05 | +79.6% | +37.3% | +42.3% |
| Drawdown | 1997-10-24 | 1997-12-19 | 40 | $2.05 | $1.62 | -20.9% | +0.5% | -21.4% |
| Rally | 1997-12-19 | 1998-03-20 | 62 | $1.62 | $2.07 | +28.0% | +16.1% | +11.9% |
| Drawdown | 1998-03-20 | 1998-08-31 | 114 | $2.07 | $1.27 | -38.7% | -12.9% | -25.8% |
| Rally | 1998-08-31 | 1999-04-15 | 157 | $1.27 | $3.06 | +140.8% | +38.2% | +102.6% |
| Drawdown | 1999-04-15 | 1999-05-18 | 24 | $3.06 | $2.44 | -20.2% | +0.8% | -21.0% |
| Rally | 1999-05-18 | 2000-03-06 | 203 | $2.44 | $9.22 | +278.0% | +4.3% | +273.6% |
| Drawdown | 2000-03-06 | 2000-03-15 | 8 | $9.22 | $6.79 | -26.3% | +0.1% | -26.4% |
| Rally | 2000-03-15 | 2000-03-22 | 6 | $6.79 | $8.39 | +23.5% | +7.8% | +15.8% |
| Drawdown | 2000-03-22 | 2000-04-03 | 9 | $8.39 | $6.22 | -25.9% | +0.4% | -26.3% |
| Rally | 2000-04-03 | 2000-07-03 | 64 | $6.22 | $15.34 | +146.7% | -2.4% | +149.1% |
| Drawdown | 2000-07-03 | 2000-08-18 | 34 | $15.34 | $7.57 | -50.7% | +1.5% | -52.2% |
| Rally | 2000-08-18 | 2000-10-23 | 46 | $7.57 | $12.99 | +71.7% | -6.4% | +78.1% |
| Drawdown | 2000-10-23 | 2001-01-08 | 53 | $12.99 | $4.97 | -61.7% | -7.2% | -54.5% |
| Rally | 2001-01-08 | 2001-01-26 | 14 | $4.97 | $6.66 | +33.9% | +4.6% | +29.3% |
| Drawdown | 2001-01-26 | 2001-02-23 | 20 | $6.66 | $5.14 | -22.8% | -8.1% | -14.7% |
| Rally | 2001-02-23 | 2001-03-05 | 7 | $5.14 | $6.35 | +23.4% | -0.4% | +23.8% |
| Drawdown | 2001-03-05 | 2001-03-22 | 14 | $6.35 | $4.66 | -26.5% | -10.0% | -16.6% |
| Rally | 2001-03-22 | 2001-05-22 | 43 | $4.66 | $7.96 | +70.7% | +17.2% | +53.5% |
| Drawdown | 2001-05-22 | 2001-06-25 | 24 | $7.96 | $5.39 | -32.3% | -6.9% | -25.3% |
| Rally | 2001-06-25 | 2001-08-23 | 43 | $5.39 | $7.36 | +36.4% | -4.6% | +41.1% |
| Drawdown | 2001-08-23 | 2001-09-24 | 18 | $7.36 | $5.37 | -27.0% | -13.7% | -13.4% |
| Rally | 2001-09-24 | 2002-01-11 | 77 | $5.37 | $7.68 | +43.0% | +14.2% | +28.9% |
| Drawdown | 2002-01-11 | 2002-05-06 | 79 | $7.68 | $5.24 | -31.7% | -8.1% | -23.6% |
| Rally | 2002-05-06 | 2002-05-17 | 10 | $5.24 | $6.78 | +29.3% | +5.1% | +24.2% |
| Drawdown | 2002-05-17 | 2002-07-10 | 37 | $6.78 | $4.72 | -30.3% | -16.8% | -13.5% |
| Rally | 2002-07-10 | 2002-10-03 | 61 | $4.72 | $7.20 | +52.5% | -11.0% | +63.5% |
| Drawdown | 2002-10-03 | 2003-04-07 | 128 | $7.20 | $3.93 | -45.5% | +7.4% | -52.9% |
| Rally | 2003-04-07 | 2004-06-30 | 311 | $3.93 | $9.01 | +129.3% | +29.7% | +99.6% |
| Drawdown | 2004-06-30 | 2005-02-22 | 164 | $9.01 | $6.86 | -23.8% | +3.8% | -27.6% |
| Rally | 2005-02-22 | 2006-03-31 | 280 | $6.86 | $12.47 | +81.6% | +9.3% | +72.3% |
| Drawdown | 2006-03-31 | 2006-08-08 | 90 | $12.47 | $9.46 | -24.1% | -1.8% | -22.3% |
| Rally | 2006-08-08 | 2008-08-08 | 505 | $9.46 | $16.98 | +79.5% | +2.0% | +77.5% |
| Drawdown | 2008-08-08 | 2009-03-09 | 146 | $16.98 | $9.54 | -43.8% | -47.8% | +4.0% |
| Rally | 2009-03-09 | 2011-07-06 | 588 | $9.54 | $18.46 | +93.5% | +98.0% | -4.4% |
| Drawdown | 2011-07-06 | 2011-11-25 | 101 | $18.46 | $13.63 | -26.2% | -13.5% | -12.7% |
| Rally | 2011-11-25 | 2015-08-05 | 928 | $13.63 | $25.61 | +87.9% | +81.2% | +6.6% |
| Drawdown | 2015-08-05 | 2016-01-28 | 122 | $25.61 | $18.86 | -26.4% | -9.8% | -16.5% |
| Rally | 2016-01-28 | 2018-09-28 | 674 | $18.86 | $48.86 | +159.1% | +53.9% | +105.2% |
| Drawdown | 2018-09-28 | 2018-12-24 | 60 | $48.86 | $31.83 | -34.8% | -19.3% | -15.5% |
| Rally | 2018-12-24 | 2019-12-20 | 251 | $31.83 | $53.61 | +68.4% | +37.0% | +31.4% |
| Drawdown | 2019-12-20 | 2020-03-16 | 58 | $53.61 | $38.96 | -27.3% | -25.9% | -1.4% |
| Rally | 2020-03-16 | 2021-09-24 | 387 | $38.96 | $131.03 | +236.3% | +86.7% | +149.6% |
| Drawdown | 2021-09-24 | 2022-01-27 | 87 | $131.03 | $86.10 | -34.3% | -2.9% | -31.4% |
| Rally | 2022-01-27 | 2022-04-07 | 50 | $86.10 | $109.49 | +27.2% | +4.0% | +23.2% |
| Drawdown | 2022-04-07 | 2022-06-16 | 49 | $109.49 | $78.64 | -28.2% | -18.5% | -9.7% |
| Rally | 2022-06-16 | 2022-08-03 | 33 | $78.64 | $95.50 | +21.4% | +13.3% | +8.1% |
| Drawdown | 2022-08-03 | 2022-10-11 | 49 | $95.50 | $68.78 | -28.0% | -13.6% | -14.3% |
| Rally | 2022-10-11 | 2023-07-21 | 195 | $68.78 | $87.85 | +27.7% | +26.4% | +1.3% |
| Drawdown | 2023-07-21 | 2023-11-01 | 73 | $87.85 | $51.95 | -40.9% | -6.6% | -34.3% |
| Rally | 2023-11-01 | 2023-12-28 | 40 | $51.95 | $77.03 | +48.3% | +12.9% | +35.4% |
| Drawdown | 2023-12-28 | 2024-04-19 | 78 | $77.03 | $61.24 | -20.5% | +3.8% | -24.3% |
| Rally | 2024-04-19 | 2024-05-14 | 18 | $61.24 | $83.05 | +35.6% | +5.6% | +30.0% |
| Drawdown | 2024-05-14 | 2025-05-21 | 256 | $83.05 | $46.28 | -44.3% | +11.4% | -55.7% |
| Rally | 2025-05-21 | 2026-01-21 | 168 | $46.28 | $71.00 | +53.4% | +17.6% | +35.8% |
| Drawdown | 2026-01-21 | 2026-03-16 | 38 | $71.00 | $48.61 | -31.5% | -2.6% | -29.0% |
| Rally | 2026-03-16 | 2026-04-20 | 25 | $48.61 | $60.33 | +24.1% | +6.1% | +18.0% |
| Drawdown | 2026-04-20 | 2026-05-15 | 20 | $60.33 | $43.12 | -28.5% | +4.2% | -32.7% |
| Rally Ongoing | 2026-05-15 | 2026-11-05 | 121 | $43.12 | $72.66 | +68.5% | -0.7% | +69.2% |
Stock returns use adjusted closes. S&P 500 is the GSPC index price return over the same dates. Excess is the stock return minus the S&P 500 return.