Stock Regimes
Major swings and moving-average trends across the full price history, with each period compared to the S&P 500.
Price history
Green bands are rallies and red bands are drawdowns. A swing is confirmed when price reverses by at least 20%.
Versus the S&P 500
Both series are rebased to 100 at the first date they share in this window. Returns are price returns from adjusted closes, not dividend total return.
Regimes
| Direction | Start | End | Trading days | Start price | End price | Stock | S&P 500 | Excess |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drawdown | 2020-09-25 | 2020-12-07 | 51 | $24.47 | $19.14 | -21.8% | +11.9% | -33.7% |
| Rally | 2020-12-07 | 2021-01-20 | 30 | $19.14 | $31.75 | +65.9% | +4.3% | +61.6% |
| Drawdown | 2021-01-20 | 2021-03-04 | 31 | $31.75 | $23.40 | -26.3% | -2.2% | -24.1% |
| Rally | 2021-03-04 | 2021-03-05 | 2 | $23.40 | $29.36 | +25.5% | +1.9% | +23.5% |
| Drawdown | 2021-03-05 | 2021-04-07 | 23 | $29.36 | $19.29 | -34.3% | +6.2% | -40.5% |
| Rally | 2021-04-07 | 2021-04-30 | 18 | $19.29 | $25.81 | +33.8% | +2.5% | +31.3% |
| Drawdown | 2021-04-30 | 2021-05-12 | 9 | $25.81 | $20.37 | -21.1% | -2.8% | -18.3% |
| Rally | 2021-05-12 | 2021-06-24 | 31 | $20.37 | $26.38 | +29.5% | +5.0% | +24.5% |
| Drawdown | 2021-06-24 | 2021-08-16 | 37 | $26.38 | $15.82 | -40.0% | +5.0% | -45.0% |
| Rally | 2021-08-16 | 2021-09-07 | 16 | $15.82 | $21.57 | +36.3% | +0.9% | +35.4% |
| Drawdown | 2021-09-07 | 2021-11-22 | 55 | $21.57 | $11.78 | -45.4% | +3.6% | -49.0% |
| Rally | 2021-11-22 | 2021-12-17 | 19 | $11.78 | $15.02 | +27.5% | -1.3% | +28.8% |
| Drawdown | 2021-12-17 | 2022-01-27 | 28 | $15.02 | $6.82 | -54.6% | -6.4% | -48.2% |
| Rally | 2022-01-27 | 2022-02-01 | 4 | $6.82 | $8.20 | +20.2% | +5.1% | +15.1% |
| Drawdown | 2022-02-01 | 2022-03-14 | 29 | $8.20 | $5.23 | -36.3% | -8.2% | -28.1% |
| Rally | 2022-03-14 | 2022-04-04 | 16 | $5.23 | $6.77 | +29.6% | +9.8% | +19.8% |
| Drawdown | 2022-04-04 | 2022-06-01 | 41 | $6.77 | $2.47 | -63.5% | -10.5% | -53.0% |
| Rally | 2022-06-01 | 2022-06-07 | 5 | $2.47 | $3.72 | +50.6% | +1.4% | +49.2% |
| Drawdown | 2022-06-07 | 2022-06-13 | 5 | $3.72 | $2.74 | -26.3% | -9.9% | -16.5% |
| Rally | 2022-06-13 | 2022-07-21 | 27 | $2.74 | $4.94 | +80.3% | +6.6% | +73.6% |
| Drawdown | 2022-07-21 | 2022-09-07 | 34 | $4.94 | $3.06 | -38.1% | -0.5% | -37.6% |
| Rally | 2022-09-07 | 2022-09-12 | 4 | $3.06 | $3.68 | +20.3% | +3.3% | +17.0% |
| Drawdown | 2022-09-12 | 2022-09-26 | 11 | $3.68 | $1.76 | -52.2% | -11.1% | -41.1% |
| Rally | 2022-09-26 | 2022-10-03 | 6 | $1.76 | $2.13 | +21.0% | +0.6% | +20.4% |
| Drawdown | 2022-10-03 | 2022-10-19 | 13 | $2.13 | $1.39 | -34.7% | +0.5% | -35.2% |
| Rally | 2022-10-19 | 2022-10-25 | 5 | $1.39 | $2.98 | +114.4% | +4.4% | +110.0% |
| Drawdown | 2022-10-25 | 2022-10-27 | 3 | $2.98 | $1.71 | -42.6% | -1.3% | -41.3% |
| Rally | 2022-10-27 | 2022-11-16 | 15 | $1.71 | $2.44 | +42.7% | +4.0% | +38.7% |
| Drawdown | 2022-11-16 | 2022-12-27 | 28 | $2.44 | $1.91 | -21.7% | -3.3% | -18.4% |
| Rally | 2022-12-27 | 2023-01-17 | 14 | $1.91 | $2.30 | +20.4% | +4.2% | +16.2% |
| Drawdown | 2023-01-17 | 2023-03-29 | 51 | $2.30 | $0.65 | -71.7% | +0.9% | -72.7% |
| Rally | 2023-03-29 | 2023-04-14 | 12 | $0.65 | $0.87 | +33.8% | +2.7% | +31.1% |
| Drawdown | 2023-04-14 | 2023-04-25 | 8 | $0.87 | $0.64 | -26.7% | -1.6% | -25.1% |
| Rally | 2023-04-25 | 2023-06-09 | 33 | $0.64 | $0.86 | +34.8% | +5.6% | +29.2% |
| Drawdown | 2023-06-09 | 2023-06-28 | 13 | $0.86 | $0.59 | -31.4% | +1.8% | -33.2% |
| Rally | 2023-06-28 | 2023-09-07 | 50 | $0.59 | $3.66 | +520.3% | +1.7% | +518.6% |
| Drawdown | 2023-09-07 | 2023-10-19 | 31 | $3.66 | $2.07 | -43.4% | -3.9% | -39.6% |
| Rally | 2023-10-19 | 2023-10-25 | 5 | $2.07 | $2.53 | +22.2% | -2.1% | +24.4% |
| Drawdown | 2023-10-25 | 2023-11-14 | 15 | $2.53 | $1.33 | -47.4% | +7.4% | -54.8% |
| Rally | 2023-11-14 | 2023-11-24 | 8 | $1.33 | $1.89 | +42.1% | +1.4% | +40.7% |
| Drawdown | 2023-11-24 | 2023-12-20 | 19 | $1.89 | $1.42 | -24.9% | +3.0% | -27.9% |
| Rally | 2023-12-20 | 2024-01-09 | 13 | $1.42 | $1.92 | +35.2% | +1.2% | +34.0% |
| Drawdown | 2024-01-09 | 2024-01-18 | 7 | $1.92 | $1.43 | -25.5% | +0.5% | -26.0% |
| Rally | 2024-01-18 | 2024-03-01 | 31 | $1.43 | $3.23 | +125.9% | +7.4% | +118.4% |
| Drawdown | 2024-03-01 | 2024-03-18 | 12 | $3.23 | $2.13 | -34.1% | +0.2% | -34.3% |
| Rally | 2024-03-18 | 2024-03-22 | 5 | $2.13 | $3.25 | +52.6% | +1.6% | +50.9% |
| Drawdown | 2024-03-22 | 2024-04-19 | 20 | $3.25 | $2.27 | -30.2% | -5.1% | -25.1% |
| Rally | 2024-04-19 | 2024-06-13 | 39 | $2.27 | $4.17 | +83.7% | +9.4% | +74.3% |
| Drawdown | 2024-06-13 | 2024-06-26 | 9 | $4.17 | $2.04 | -51.1% | +0.8% | -51.9% |
| Rally | 2024-06-26 | 2024-07-16 | 14 | $2.04 | $2.46 | +20.6% | +3.5% | +17.1% |
| Drawdown | 2024-07-16 | 2024-11-05 | 80 | $2.46 | $1.27 | -48.4% | +2.0% | -50.4% |
| Rally | 2024-11-05 | 2024-11-29 | 18 | $1.27 | $3.24 | +155.1% | +4.3% | +150.8% |
| Drawdown | 2024-11-29 | 2025-01-30 | 41 | $3.24 | $1.48 | -54.3% | +0.6% | -55.0% |
| Rally | 2025-01-30 | 2025-03-28 | 41 | $1.48 | $1.93 | +30.4% | -8.1% | +38.5% |
| Drawdown | 2025-03-28 | 2025-04-08 | 8 | $1.93 | $1.13 | -41.5% | -10.7% | -30.7% |
| Rally | 2025-04-08 | 2025-05-02 | 18 | $1.13 | $2.58 | +128.3% | +14.1% | +114.2% |
| Drawdown | 2025-05-02 | 2025-05-07 | 4 | $2.58 | $1.90 | -26.4% | -1.0% | -25.4% |
| Rally | 2025-05-07 | 2025-05-20 | 10 | $1.90 | $2.93 | +54.2% | +5.5% | +48.7% |
| Drawdown | 2025-05-20 | 2025-06-30 | 28 | $2.93 | $2.31 | -21.2% | +4.5% | -25.6% |
| Rally | 2025-06-30 | 2025-10-15 | 76 | $2.31 | $5.34 | +131.2% | +7.5% | +123.7% |
| Drawdown | 2025-10-15 | 2025-11-07 | 18 | $5.34 | $3.83 | -28.3% | +0.9% | -29.1% |
| Rally | 2025-11-07 | 2025-12-24 | 33 | $3.83 | $5.91 | +54.3% | +3.0% | +51.3% |
| Drawdown | 2025-12-24 | 2026-03-30 | 65 | $5.91 | $4.07 | -31.1% | -8.5% | -22.6% |
| Rally | 2026-03-30 | 2026-05-06 | 27 | $4.07 | $6.98 | +71.5% | +16.1% | +55.4% |
| Drawdown | 2026-05-06 | 2026-05-19 | 10 | $6.98 | $5.19 | -25.7% | -0.2% | -25.6% |
| Rally | 2026-05-19 | 2026-06-24 | 25 | $5.19 | $6.94 | +33.8% | +0.1% | +33.8% |
| Drawdown | 2026-06-24 | 2026-07-13 | 13 | $6.94 | $5.38 | -22.5% | +2.1% | -24.6% |
| Rally | 2026-07-13 | 2026-08-11 | 22 | $5.38 | $6.68 | +24.2% | +2.8% | +21.3% |
| Drawdown | 2026-08-11 | 2026-10-14 | 46 | $6.68 | $3.51 | -47.5% | -0.1% | -47.3% |
| Rally Ongoing | 2026-10-14 | 2026-11-05 | 17 | $3.51 | $4.09 | +16.5% | -4.7% | +21.3% |
Stock returns use adjusted closes. S&P 500 is the GSPC index price return over the same dates. Excess is the stock return minus the S&P 500 return.