Stock Regimes
Major swings and moving-average trends across the full price history, with each period compared to the S&P 500.
Price history
Green bands are rallies and red bands are drawdowns. A swing is confirmed when price reverses by at least 20%.
Versus the S&P 500
Both series are rebased to 100 at the first date they share in this window. Returns are price returns from adjusted closes, not dividend total return.
Regimes
| Direction | Start | End | Trading days | Start price | End price | Stock | S&P 500 | Excess |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rally | 2021-05-24 | 2021-12-10 | 141 | $10.38 | $20.00 | +92.7% | +12.3% | +80.4% |
| Drawdown | 2021-12-10 | 2022-02-04 | 39 | $20.00 | $10.00 | -50.0% | -4.5% | -45.5% |
| Rally | 2022-02-04 | 2022-02-15 | 8 | $10.00 | $18.85 | +88.5% | -0.7% | +89.2% |
| Drawdown | 2022-02-15 | 2022-03-11 | 18 | $18.85 | $12.25 | -35.0% | -6.0% | -29.0% |
| Rally | 2022-03-11 | 2022-04-05 | 18 | $12.25 | $16.13 | +31.6% | +7.6% | +24.0% |
| Drawdown | 2022-04-05 | 2022-05-18 | 31 | $16.13 | $11.00 | -31.8% | -13.3% | -18.5% |
| Rally | 2022-05-18 | 2022-06-07 | 14 | $11.00 | $14.50 | +31.8% | +6.0% | +25.8% |
| Drawdown | 2022-06-07 | 2022-11-04 | 106 | $14.50 | $7.40 | -49.0% | -9.4% | -39.6% |
| Rally | 2022-11-04 | 2022-12-19 | 31 | $7.40 | $11.34 | +53.2% | +1.2% | +52.0% |
| Drawdown | 2022-12-19 | 2023-10-24 | 213 | $11.34 | $5.93 | -47.7% | +11.3% | -59.0% |
| Rally | 2023-10-24 | 2023-12-20 | 41 | $5.93 | $8.90 | +50.1% | +10.6% | +39.5% |
| Drawdown | 2023-12-20 | 2024-02-02 | 30 | $8.90 | $4.61 | -48.2% | +5.5% | -53.7% |
| Rally | 2024-02-02 | 2024-02-22 | 14 | $4.61 | $5.67 | +23.0% | +2.6% | +20.4% |
| Drawdown | 2024-02-22 | 2024-05-08 | 54 | $5.67 | $4.11 | -27.5% | +2.0% | -29.5% |
| Rally | 2024-05-08 | 2024-12-05 | 147 | $4.11 | $7.38 | +79.6% | +17.1% | +62.5% |
| Drawdown | 2024-12-05 | 2025-01-15 | 27 | $7.38 | $5.80 | -21.4% | -2.1% | -19.3% |
| Rally | 2025-01-15 | 2025-02-03 | 13 | $5.80 | $7.14 | +23.1% | +0.8% | +22.3% |
| Drawdown | 2025-02-03 | 2025-04-09 | 47 | $7.14 | $4.27 | -40.2% | -9.0% | -31.2% |
| Rally | 2025-04-09 | 2025-06-12 | 45 | $4.27 | $6.13 | +43.6% | +10.8% | +32.8% |
| Drawdown | 2025-06-12 | 2025-08-26 | 52 | $6.13 | $4.37 | -28.7% | +7.0% | -35.7% |
| Rally | 2025-08-26 | 2026-01-27 | 106 | $4.37 | $7.38 | +68.8% | +7.9% | +60.9% |
| Drawdown | 2026-01-27 | 2026-03-30 | 44 | $7.38 | $5.70 | -22.7% | -9.1% | -13.6% |
| Rally | 2026-03-30 | 2026-07-21 | 78 | $5.70 | $10.74 | +88.5% | +18.4% | +70.1% |
| Drawdown | 2026-07-21 | 2026-09-29 | 50 | $10.74 | $8.49 | -20.9% | +2.2% | -23.1% |
| Rally Ongoing | 2026-09-29 | 2026-11-05 | 28 | $8.49 | $10.70 | +26.0% | -4.1% | +30.2% |
Stock returns use adjusted closes. S&P 500 is the GSPC index price return over the same dates. Excess is the stock return minus the S&P 500 return.